Patcher: Modern Warfare 3 will outsell Black Ops
Warns however that Elite service could “defect” a number of loyalists to pick rival Battlefield 3.
Notorious Wedbush analyst Michael Patcher believes that Modern Warfare 3, Activision’s forthcoming major entry in the Call of Duty franchise, will outsell Treyarch’s billion-dollar cold-war shooter, Black Ops.
Gamespot reports that Patcher predicts Infinity Ward’s Modern Warfare 3 will successfully rack up more than 20 million units, which is the same estimation Black Ops is set to achieve in its lifetime sales.
Despite this, the research analyst warns that the introduction of Activision’s Call of Duty subscription service, Elite, could very well cause a “small number” of loyal fans to defect into the arms of rival EA’s Battlefield 3.
“Activision’s introduction of Call of Duty Elite (its premium subscription service) could cause a small number of loyal Call of Duty players to defect to EA’s game,” He said.
“While we think that Activision’s 2011 Call of Duty sales have the potential to eclipse last year’s mind-boggling 20 million units, due primarily to the network effect created by the game’s remarkable 17 million weekly active unique online players, we think that the company’s shares may come under pressure when EA’s game is launched, particularly if Battlefield 3 receives a 90+ Metacritic score.”
Each fresh entry in the Call of Duty franchise has managed to dethrone its direct predecessor sales-wise, and Modern Warfare 3 is no different, according to recent pre-order records.
Modern Warfare 3 is due out this November.